FPCN11 CWTO 201612 AAB UPDATED FORECASTS FOR SOUTHERN ONTARIO AND THE NATIONAL CAPITAL REGION ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT 11:11 A.M. EST FRIDAY 20 FEBRUARY 2026 FOR TODAY AND SATURDAY. THE NEXT SCHEDULED FORECAST WILL BE ISSUED AT 3:30 P.M. EST. SIMCOE - DELHI - NORFOLK. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FOG PATCHES DISSIPATING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND EAST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 50 GUSTING TO 80 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PLUS 5 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 1 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 60 DIMINISHING TO 20 GUSTING TO 40 LATE THIS EVENING. LOW PLUS 1. SATURDAY..CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR FLURRIES NEAR NOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE MORNING. HIGH PLUS 3. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. DUNNVILLE - CALEDONIA - HALDIMAND. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FOG PATCHES DISSIPATING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND EAST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 50 GUSTING TO 80 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PLUS 5 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 1 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 70 DIMINISHING TO 20 GUSTING TO 40 LATE THIS EVENING. LOW PLUS 1. SATURDAY..CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR FLURRIES NEAR NOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40. HIGH PLUS 3. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. WOODSTOCK - TILLSONBURG - OXFORD COUNTY. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FOG PATCHES DISSIPATING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND EAST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 40 GUSTING TO 70 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH 6 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 1 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 60 BECOMING WEST 20 LATE THIS EVENING THEN LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW ZERO. SATURDAY..CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR FLURRIES NEAR NOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 30 KM/H. HIGH PLUS 3. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. BRANTFORD - COUNTY OF BRANT. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FOG PATCHES DISSIPATING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND EAST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 40 GUSTING TO 70 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH 6 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 1 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 60 DIMINISHING TO 20 LATE THIS EVENING THEN BECOMING LIGHT BEFORE MORNING. LOW ZERO. SATURDAY..CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR FLURRIES NEAR NOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 30 KM/H. HIGH PLUS 3. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. NIAGARA FALLS - WELLAND - SOUTHERN NIAGARA REGION. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FOG PATCHES DISSIPATING THIS AFTERNOON. WIND EAST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 50 GUSTING TO 80 THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PLUS 5 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 2 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 70 DIMINISHING TO 20 GUSTING TO 40 LATE THIS EVENING. LOW PLUS 1. SATURDAY..CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR FLURRIES NEAR NOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40. HIGH PLUS 3. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. ST. CATHARINES - GRIMSBY - NORTHERN NIAGARA REGION. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FOG DISSIPATING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND EAST 20 KM/H BECOMING SOUTHWEST 40 GUSTING TO 70 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH 6 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 2 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 60 DIMINISHING TO 20 GUSTING TO 40 LATE THIS EVENING. LOW PLUS 1. SATURDAY..CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR FLURRIES NEAR NOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H. HIGH PLUS 3. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. CITY OF HAMILTON. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. FOG PATCHES DISSIPATING EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND EAST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 40 GUSTING TO 70 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH 6 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 2 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 60 DIMINISHING TO 20 GUSTING TO 40 LATE THIS EVENING. LOW PLUS 1. SATURDAY..CLOUDY. 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES CHANGING TO 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OR FLURRIES NEAR NOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H. HIGH PLUS 3. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. GODERICH - BLUEWATER - SOUTHERN HURON COUNTY. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 60. HIGH PLUS 5 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 1 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 40 KM/H GUSTING TO 60 DIMINISHING TO 20 LATE THIS EVENING. LOW PLUS 1. SATURDAY..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE MORNING. WIND BECOMING WEST 30 IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE STEADY NEAR PLUS 2. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. WINGHAM - BLYTH - NORTHERN HURON COUNTY. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SOUTHEAST 30 KM/H GUSTING TO 50 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 30 GUSTING TO 50 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE STEADY NEAR PLUS 3. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW ZERO. SATURDAY..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND BECOMING WEST 30 KM/H IN THE MORNING. TEMPERATURE STEADY NEAR PLUS 1. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. STRATFORD - MITCHELL - SOUTHERN PERTH COUNTY. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SOUTHWEST 30 KM/H GUSTING TO 50. HIGH PLUS 5 WITH TEMPERATURE FALLING TO PLUS 1 THIS AFTERNOON. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 30 KM/H GUSTING TO 50. LOW ZERO. SATURDAY..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND WEST 30 KM/H. TEMPERATURE STEADY NEAR PLUS 1. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. LISTOWEL - MILVERTON - NORTHERN PERTH COUNTY. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SOUTHEAST 30 KM/H GUSTING TO 50 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 GUSTING TO 40 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE STEADY NEAR PLUS 2. UV INDEX 2 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW ZERO. SATURDAY..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND WEST 20 KM/H. TEMPERATURE STEADY NEAR PLUS 1. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. KITCHENER - CAMBRIDGE - REGION OF WATERLOO. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SOUTHEAST 30 KM/H GUSTING TO 50 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 30 GUSTING TO 50 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PLUS 4. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW ZERO. SATURDAY..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND BECOMING WEST 20 KM/H EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH PLUS 1. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. GUELPH - ERIN - SOUTHERN WELLINGTON COUNTY. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND EAST 30 KM/H GUSTING TO 50 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH PLUS 4. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H BECOMING LIGHT AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW ZERO. SATURDAY..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND BECOMING WEST 20 KM/H EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH PLUS 1. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. MOUNT FOREST - ARTHUR - NORTHERN WELLINGTON COUNTY. TODAY..CLOUDY. 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. RISK OF A THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. WIND SOUTHEAST 30 KM/H GUSTING TO 50 BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20 GUSTING TO 40 LATE THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE STEADY NEAR PLUS 2. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. TONIGHT..CLOUDY WITH 60 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND SOUTHWEST 20 KM/H GUSTING TO 40 BECOMING LIGHT LATE THIS EVENING. LOW MINUS 1. WIND CHILL MINUS 5 OVERNIGHT. SATURDAY..CLOUDY WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF FLURRIES. WIND BECOMING WEST 20 KM/H EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH PLUS 1. WIND CHILL MINUS 6 IN THE MORNING. UV INDEX 1 OR LOW. REMAINDER UNCHANGED. END