FXUS01 KWBC 082153
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
552 PM EDT Sun Mar 08 2026

Valid 00Z Mon Mar 09 2026 - 00Z Wed Mar 11 2026

...Lower elevation coastal/valley rain and high elevation snow
continues for the Pacific Northwest and northern Rockies...

...Shower and thunderstorm chances will linger across the
Southeast with a severe weather threat for the Lower Mississippi
Valley Monday and the Midwest on Tuesday...

...Well above average temperatures across most of the country will
continue into the first half of the week...

Showers and thunderstorms are forecast to increase in coverage and
intensity from Arkansas to Alabama through Monday along a
stationary frontal boundary. There is a Slight Risk of severe
thunderstorms across the region with the potential for large hail
and damaging winds with the stronger storms that develop, and
heavy rainfall that may lead to some localized instances of
flooding. An even more active weather pattern emerges from the
southern Plains to the Midwest on Tuesday as a stronger front
approaches the region that will be intercepting an increasingly
more humid air mass. An Enhanced Risk of severe weather is valid
from northern Missouri to central Illinois where the more
favorable parameters for severe storms will exist. Heavy rainfall
also becomes more likely going into Tuesday evening and into early
Wednesday across the Midwest as multiple rounds of storms affect
the same areas.

Out West, coastal/valley rain and mountain snow will remain in
place across western Oregon and Washington as flow from the
Pacific moves across the region, and a heavier rainfall event is
on the horizon going into Tuesday night and Wednesday with a
potential atmospheric river event. Lighter snows are likely across
the northern Rockies with a few inches of accumulation likely. In
addition, high winds across much of Montana on Sunday are expected
to subside some going into Monday, but still quite breezy. Fire
weather concerns will be in place over western portions of
Nebraska and also near the Texas Panhandle and northeast New
Mexico on Monday with elevated winds and very low humidity.

Temperatures will continue to be very spring-like across a large
expanse of the central and southern U.S., with readings well above
normal extending up to the Great Lakes and South Dakota. After a
delayed warm-up from persistent cold air damming across the
northern Mid-Atlantic and the Northeast, it will also feel more
spring-like across this region. A strong cold front then
approaches from the Midwest and brings a return to more typical
conditions for early March from the central Plains to the Great
Lakes by the middle of the week, while anomalous warmth continues
for the Eastern U.S.

Hamrick


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php




$$