FZUS51 KBUF 110804 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 404 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-111500- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 404 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TODAY...Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers likely in the evening, then a chance of rain showers overnight. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain and snow during the day, then a chance of snow showers and rain likely Friday night. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers Saturday night. .SUNDAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Rain showers with snow showers likely. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. The water temperature off Buffalo is 32 degrees. $$ LOZ030-111500- Lower Niagara River- 404 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TODAY...East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms through early afternoon, then rain showers late. .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 20 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers likely in the evening, then a chance of rain showers overnight. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Partly cloudy. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain and snow during the day, then a chance of snow showers and rain likely Friday night. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers Saturday night. .SUNDAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 25 knots. Rain showers with snow showers likely. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. $$ LEZ040-041-111500- Buffalo to Ripley along Lake Erie- 404 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON... .TODAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Areas of fog early. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms through early afternoon, then rain showers late. The lake is mostly ice covered. .TONIGHT...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west. Rain showers in the evening, then a chance of snow showers overnight. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. .FRIDAY...Southwest winds to 30 knots increasing to 35 knot gales. Rain and snow during the day, then a chance of snow showers and rain likely Friday night. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming east and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers Saturday night. .SUNDAY...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south and increasing to 35 knot gales. Rain showers with snow showers likely. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. $$ LOZ042-111500- Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario- 404 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet. .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain showers likely in the evening, then a chance of rain showers overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 9 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .THURSDAY...West winds to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Waves 10 to 13 feet subsiding to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. .FRIDAY...Southeast winds to 30 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales. Rain and snow during the day, then rain likely with a chance of snow showers Friday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 9 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .SATURDAY...West gales to 35 knots becoming northeast and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers Saturday night. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet. .SUNDAY...East winds 15 to 25 knots becoming south and increasing to 35 knot gales. Snow and rain showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 6 to 10 feet, then subsiding to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. $$ LOZ044-111500- Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario- 404 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early, then rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms from late morning on. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .TONIGHT...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 13 to 17 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet. .THURSDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Waves 13 to 17 feet subsiding to 10 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots overnight. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 40 knot gales. Rain with snow likely during the day, then snow showers likely with rain Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 14 to 18 feet. Waves occasionally around 23 feet. .SATURDAY...West gales to 40 knots becoming north and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 14 to 18 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 23 feet. .SUNDAY...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south and increasing to 40 knot gales. Snow and rain showers likely. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. $$ LOZ043-111500- Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay along Lake Ontario including Irondequoit Bay- 404 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS MORNING... ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers likely early, then rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms from late morning on. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet. .TONIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain showers likely in the evening, then a chance of rain showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. .THURSDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Waves 10 to 14 feet subsiding to 8 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots overnight. Partly cloudy. Waves 6 to 10 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales. Rain and snow during the day, then a chance of snow showers and rain likely Friday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 10 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .SATURDAY...West gales to 35 knots becoming northeast and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 9 to 13 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .SUNDAY...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south and increasing to 35 knot gales. Rain showers with snow showers likely. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. The water temperature off Rochester is 38 degrees. $$ LOZ045-111500- Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario- 404 AM EDT Wed Mar 11 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .TODAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers and thunderstorms early, then rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms from late morning on. Waves in ice free areas 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet. .TONIGHT...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers likely with a chance of snow showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 10 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet. .THURSDAY...West winds to 30 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Waves 10 to 15 feet subsiding to 9 to 12 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet. .THURSDAY NIGHT...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 8 to 11 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 40 knot gales. Snow and rain during the day, then snow showers likely with rain Friday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 13 to 17 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet. .SATURDAY...West gales to 40 knots becoming north and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Snow showers likely during the day. Waves 12 to 16 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 20 feet. .SUNDAY...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south and increasing to 45 knot gales. Rain showers with snow showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less building to 7 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. Wave heights are for ice free areas. $$