FZUS61 KCLE 161348 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 948 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS... A potent low deepens to 29.00 inches as it moves northeastward into the northern Great Lakes today. This will allow a strong cold front to sweep eastward across Lake Erie this morning. This afternoon through tonight, a trough averaging 29.90 inches lingers over Lake Erie as the low moves north- northeastward toward northern Quebec and deepens further to 28.50 inches. On Tuesday through Tuesday night, a ridge averaging 30.30 inches should build from the Upper Midwest. The ridge should exit slowly eastward from the region Wednesday through Wednesday night and allow a warm front to sweep northward across Lake Erie. On Thursday, a very weak cold front should sweep eastward across Lake Erie and be followed by a ridge, averaging 30.10 inches, building from the west. On Friday, the ridge should exit eastward and allow another warm front to sweep northward across Lake Erie. LEZ162>164-162030- Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM offshoreline to US-Canadian border- Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 948 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... ...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT TUESDAY... .REST OF TODAY...Southwest gales to 35 knots becoming west. A slight chance of snow early this afternoon. A chance of snow late. Waves 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. .TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots. A chance of snow through the early overnight, then a slight chance of snow late. Waves 5 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. .TUESDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. Waves 4 to 7 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .WEDNESDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .THURSDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of rain during the day. Waves 2 feet or less. .FRIDAY...West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet. $$ LEZ165>168-162030- Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the- Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on- the-Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 948 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... .REST OF TODAY...Southwest gales to 35 knots. A chance of rain late this morning, then a slight chance of rain and snow early this afternoon. A chance of snow late. Waves 8 to 11 feet building to 10 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots. A chance of snow. Waves 10 to 14 feet. Waves occasionally around 18 feet. .TUESDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 4 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet. .WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 10 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. .THURSDAY...South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of rain during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less. .FRIDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 6 feet. $$ LEZ061-169-162030- Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US- Canadian border- Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US- Canadian border- 948 AM EDT Mon Mar 16 2026 ...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING... .REST OF TODAY...South winds to 30 knots becoming southwest. A chance of rain, then a chance of snow and rain late. Waves in ice free areas 5 to 8 feet building to 10 to 14 feet. Waves in ice free areas occasionally around 18 feet. .TONIGHT...West gales to 35 knots increasing to 40 knots. Snow likely through the early overnight, then a chance of snow late. Waves 10 to 15 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet. .TUESDAY...West gales to 35 knots diminishing to 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow. Waves 10 to 13 feet subsiding to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .TUESDAY NIGHT...West winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of snow. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .WEDNESDAY...Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .THURSDAY...South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of rain during the day. Waves 2 feet or less. .FRIDAY...West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. A chance of rain Friday night. Waves 2 feet or less building to 2 to 4 feet. Wave heights are for ice free areas. $$ LEZ161-162030- MAFOR 1615/ ERIE WEST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...12550 11640 13650 12640. A chance of snow this afternoon and tonight. Waves 7 to 11 feet, and occasionally around 14 feet this afternoon. Waves 8 to 12 feet, and occasionally around 15 feet tonight. Waves 5 to 9 feet, and occasionally around 11 feet Tuesday morning. ERIE CENTRAL 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...12550 14650 12640. A chance of rain late this morning, then a chance of snow this afternoon. A chance of snow tonight and Tuesday morning. Waves 8 to 11 feet building to 10 to 13 feet, and occasionally around 16 feet this afternoon. Waves 10 to 14 feet, and occasionally around 18 feet tonight. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 6 to 9 feet, and occasionally around 15 feet Tuesday morning. ERIE EAST 1/3...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT...11546 11540 11640 12657 12650 11640. Waves 5 to 8 feet building to 10 to 14 feet, and occasionally around 18 feet this afternoon. Waves 10 to 15 feet, and occasionally around 19 feet tonight. Waves 10 to 13 feet subsiding to 7 to 10 feet, and occasionally around 16 feet Tuesday morning. Wave heights are for ice free areas. $$