FZUS51 KBUF 101737 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 137 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ020-102115- Upper Niagara River and Buffalo Harbor- 137 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 .THIS AFTERNOON...Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers early, then showers likely late. .TONIGHT...Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Showers likely in the evening, then showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms overnight. .WEDNESDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers with a chance of snow showers in the evening, then a chance of snow and rain showers overnight. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy, then becoming partly cloudy. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain and snow during the day, then a chance of snow showers and rain Friday night. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast and diminishing to 10 knots or less. Snow and rain showers likely Saturday night. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. The water temperature off Buffalo is 32 degrees. $$ LOZ030-102115- Lower Niagara River- 137 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 .THIS AFTERNOON...West winds less than 10 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers early, then showers likely late. .TONIGHT...North winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Rain showers likely in the evening, then rain showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms overnight. .WEDNESDAY...Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain showers with a chance of snow showers in the evening, then a chance of rain and snow showers overnight. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 25 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to less than 10 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. Rain and snow during the day, then a chance of snow showers and rain Friday night. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Snow and rain showers likely Saturday night. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. $$ LEZ040-041-102115- Buffalo to Ripley along Lake Erie- 137 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 .THIS AFTERNOON...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of showers early, then showers likely late. The lake is mostly ice covered. .TONIGHT...South winds 10 knots or less becoming east 5 to 15 knots. Patchy fog. Rain showers likely in the evening, then a chance of rain showers and thunderstorms overnight. .WEDNESDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southwest. Showers with a chance of thunderstorms. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds to 30 knots becoming west. Rain showers with snow showers likely in the evening, then snow and rain showers likely overnight. .THURSDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy, then becoming partly cloudy. .FRIDAY...South winds to 30 knots becoming west 15 to 25 knots. Rain and snow during the day, then a chance of snow showers and rain Friday night. .SATURDAY...West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Snow and rain showers likely Saturday night. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. $$ LOZ042-102115- Niagara River to Hamlin Beach along Lake Ontario- 137 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .THIS AFTERNOON...North winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. A chance of showers early, then showers likely late. Waves 1 foot or less. .TONIGHT...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers likely in the evening, then rain showers likely with a chance of thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. .WEDNESDAY...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain showers in the evening, then a chance of snow and rain showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 6 to 9 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet. .THURSDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming southwest and diminishing to 5 to 10 knots. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 7 to 10 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet. .FRIDAY...Southeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west to 30 knots. Rain and snow during the day, then a chance of snow showers and rain Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 9 to 13 feet. Waves occasionally around 16 feet. .SATURDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming east and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Snow showers likely Saturday night. Waves 8 to 11 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. $$ LOZ043-044-102115- Hamlin Beach to Mexico Bay along Lake Ontario including Irondequoit Bay- 137 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .THIS AFTERNOON...North winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. A chance of showers late. Waves 1 foot or less. .TONIGHT...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots. Rain showers likely in the evening, then a chance of rain showers overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. .WEDNESDAY...East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales overnight. Rain showers in the evening, then rain showers with snow showers likely overnight. Waves 2 feet or less building to 8 to 11 feet. Waves occasionally around 14 feet. .THURSDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Snow showers likely during the day. Waves 9 to 12 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales. Rain with snow likely during the day, then snow showers likely with rain Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 13 to 17 feet. Waves occasionally around 22 feet. .SATURDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming southeast and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 12 to 16 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 20 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. The water temperature off Rochester is 38 degrees. $$ LOZ045-102115- Mexico Bay to the Saint Lawrence River along Lake Ontario- 137 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026 ...GALE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING... .THIS AFTERNOON...Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. A chance of showers late. Waves in ice free areas 2 feet or less. .TONIGHT...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers in the evening, then a chance of rain showers and freezing rain overnight. Waves 1 foot or less. .WEDNESDAY...Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming south. Rain showers, a chance of thunderstorms and freezing rain in the morning, then rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west and increasing to 30 knots overnight. Rain showers with a chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then rain showers with snow showers likely overnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 7 to 10 feet. Waves occasionally around 13 feet. .THURSDAY...West winds to 30 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Snow showers likely during the day. Waves 8 to 12 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 15 feet. .FRIDAY...South winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west and increasing to 35 knot gales. Snow and rain. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 12 to 16 feet. Waves occasionally around 20 feet. .SATURDAY...West winds to 30 knots becoming southeast and diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. Waves 11 to 15 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 19 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near thunderstorms. Wave heights are for ice free areas. $$