FXUS01 KWBC 051955
PMDSPD

Short Range Forecast Discussion
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
254 PM EST Tue Mar 05 2024

Valid 00Z Wed Mar 06 2024 - 00Z Fri Mar 08 2024

...Heavy snow over parts of Northern/Central Rockies...

...There is a Slight Risk of excessive rainfall over parts of
Southern New England/northern Mid-Atlantic on Wednesday...

...There is a Slight Risk of severe thunderstorms over parts of
the Southern Plains on Thursday...

Low pressure along the northern Mid-Atlantic Coast will move
northeastward into Southeast Canada by Wednesday morning. The low
will develop light rain over New England through Wednesday morning.

Additionally, a front extending from the Lower Great Lakes to the
Southern Plains will move eastward off the East Coast by Thursday
evening. Moisture pooling along the front will aid in developing
showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Lower Mississippi
Valley northeastward to the Lower Great Lakes through late Tuesday
evening. Overnight Tuesday, the showers and thunderstorms will be
over parts of the Central Gulf Coast and Southeast. The showers
and thunderstorms will move off the Southeast Coast overnight
Wednesday. Further, light rain will develop over parts of the Ohio
Valley into parts of the Northeast by Wednesday morning.

On Wednesday, the system will produce rain over parts of the
Northeast and Mid-Atlantic. The rain over Southern New
England/northern Mid-Atlantic will be heavy. Therefore, the WPC
has issued a Slight Risk (level 2/4) of excessive rainfall over
parts of Southern New England/northern Mid-Atlantic from Wednesday
through Thursday morning. The associated heavy rain will create
mainly localized areas of flash flooding, with urban areas, roads,
and small streams the most vulnerable. On Thursday, rain will
continue over parts of New England, with snow over northern Maine.


Moreover, a wave of low pressure along a front over the
Northern/Central Rockies will produce heavy snow over parts of the
area through Wednesday. The associated boundary will linger
through late Wednesday afternoon, producing light snow at the
higher elevations. In addition, weak onshore flow will aid in
creating light rain over parts of Northern California through late
Wednesday night.

Overnight Tuesday, the onshore flow will move southward, producing
rain over parts of Central California through early Thursday
morning. Moreover, the onshore flow will move southward over
Southern California, creating light rain through Thursday evening.


Furthermore, the wave of low pressure moves eastward into the
Northern Plains by Wednesday morning and into Central Canada by
Thursday. On Wednesday, the low will produce light to moderate
snow over parts of the Northern Plains and the Upper Mississippi
Valley.

The associated front will move southeastward over the Central
Plains into the Southern Plains by Thursday. On Thursday, the
boundary will create showers and severe thunderstorms over parts
of the Southern plains. Therefore, the SPC has issued a Slight
Risk (level 2/5) of severe thunderstorms over parts of the
Southern Plains on Thursday. The hazards associated with these
thunderstorms are frequent lightning, severe thunderstorm wind
gusts, hail, and a few tornadoes.


Ziegenfelder


Graphics available at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/basicwx/basicwx_ndfd.php

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