WTNT80 EGRR 061612 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 06.10.2024 TROPICAL STORM MILTON ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N 95.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2024 22.5N 95.0W WEAK 00UTC 07.10.2024 22.0N 93.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 21.6N 91.6W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 22.1N 89.3W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 08.10.2024 23.0N 87.2W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 24.2N 85.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 26.2N 82.7W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 28.2N 80.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 29.4N 76.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 30.9N 70.9W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2024 30.6N 65.4W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 30.6N 59.8W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 12.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE LESLIE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 37.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2024 13.1N 37.5W MODERATE 00UTC 07.10.2024 14.4N 39.0W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 07.10.2024 15.4N 40.5W MODERATE WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 08.10.2024 16.6N 41.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2024 18.0N 43.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 09.10.2024 19.2N 45.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 20.3N 47.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 21.1N 48.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 21.7N 50.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 22.2N 51.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 23.3N 52.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 24.5N 53.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH HURRICANE KIRK ANALYSED POSITION : 34.3N 48.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122024 VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 06.10.2024 34.3N 48.5W INTENSE 00UTC 07.10.2024 37.6N 45.3W INTENSE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 07.10.2024 40.6N 40.3W INTENSE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 08.10.2024 43.1N 34.0W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 08.10.2024 43.4N 27.7W STRONG WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 09.10.2024 42.5N 18.6W MODERATE WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 09.10.2024 44.1N 8.9W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 46.6N 2.1E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 50.7N 11.2E MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 POST-TROPICAL NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 27.6N 78.8W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 08.10.2024 27.6N 78.8W WEAK 00UTC 09.10.2024 28.6N 75.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 09.10.2024 30.0N 71.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 10.10.2024 32.3N 66.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 10.10.2024 35.3N 60.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 11.10.2024 38.9N 54.6W MODERATE INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY 12UTC 11.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 35.9N 26.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 10.10.2024 36.7N 23.1W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY 00UTC 11.10.2024 37.0N 17.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 11.10.2024 38.3N 13.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 12.10.2024 40.1N 9.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 40.8N 0.4W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 13.10.2024 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 14.0N 23.6W VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY -------------- -------- -------- -------- 12UTC 11.10.2024 14.4N 24.7W WEAK WEAKENING SLIGHTLY 00UTC 12.10.2024 15.6N 27.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 12.10.2024 17.5N 28.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 00UTC 13.10.2024 18.5N 29.9W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE 12UTC 13.10.2024 19.3N 30.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061612